1. [Please send any additional material to [email protected] - many thanks]

  2. 

  3. Related links:

  4. • Diversity: the unpalatable reality, https://controlc.com/c4fa8aba

  5. • So-called "pay gap" propaganda, https://controlc.com/75511dfe

  6. • Immigration realities, https://controlc.com/8a8fe841

  7. • Criminal justice in the West – context and causes, https://controlc.com/f22ea85d

  8. • Woke - a definition, https://controlc.com/3ad450fb

  9. • UK prognosis / the economic unsustainability of the welfare state: https://bit.ly/UK_collapse

  10. 

  11. 

  12. Contents:

  13. 1. COMMENT 1 - Criminal justice in the West – context and causes

  14. 2. COMMENT 2 - WITH FURTHER EXAMPLES AND SOLUTIONS:

  15. 3. Notes to process.

  16. 

  17. 

  18. COMMENT 1 - Criminal justice in the West: context and causes (numbers in text refer to footnotes below)

  19. 

  20. Context:

  21. 

  22. Here's a 2019 story which stuck in my mind as (a) the victim was a lawyer; (b) the attack was unprovoked; and (c) the killer was white, which demonstrates that while violent crime in the UK is disproportionately black [1], it’s not just black youth:

  23. 

  24. "Teenager stabbed polite stranger through heart with screwdriver. A lawyer was fatally stabbed in the heart with a screwdriver by a teenager he made way for at the entrance of a shopping centre. ...the boy had 17 convictions for 31 offences since 2017, including an incident in which he grabbed a knife in an argument and one in which he threatened a driver with a blade after he was challenged about drinking alcohol on a bus. In August 2017 he was convicted of battery, criminal damage and threatening with a blade. He was drunk at home and, in an argument with his family, armed himself with a knife and chased someone down the road. At the time of the murder he was on bail for affray." [2]

  25. 

  26. Here's another repeat offender:

  27. 

  28. "Judge blames parents of machete thug who hacked off teenager’s hand [the defendant] has 13 convictions for 27 previous offences including three for knife possession" [3]

  29. 

  30. I recommend former prison doctor Theodore Dalrymple's essay, The Frivolity of Evil. It is an insight into a world which most of us in the respectable middle classes never need to descend into. These people live among us, though (well, in the ghettos, at least, but now they’ve been emboldened to launch attacks into civilisation): 

  31. 

  32. "Men commit evil within the scope available to them. [...] most evildoers merely make the most of their opportunities. They do what they can get away with. [...] I have met at least 5,000 perpetrators […] violence [and] 5,000 victims of it: nearly 1 percent of the population of my city—or a higher percentage, if one considers the age-specificity of the behavior. And when you take the life histories of these people, as I have, you soon realize that their existence is as saturated with arbitrary violence as that of the inhabitants of many a dictatorship. Instead of one dictator, though, there are thousands, each the absolute ruler of his own little sphere, his power circumscribed by the proximity of another such as he.” [4]

  33. 

  34. 

  35. Causes:

  36. 

  37. *** Dysfunctional groups within society are growing. There is incontrovertible evidence that children in fractured family units tend to die earlier, suffer more ill health, do less well at school, be more likely to be unemployed, more prone to criminal behaviour, and to repeat as adults the same cycle of unstable parenting. Approximately 1% of Western populations cause 63% of violent crime.

  38. 

  39. * There is incontrovertible evidence that children in fractured family units tend to die earlier, suffer more ill health, do less well at school, be more likely to be unemployed, more prone to criminal behaviour, and to repeat as adults the same cycle of unstable parenting. The social science establishment, which repeated surveys show comprise almost exclusively left-wingers, ‘circled the wagons’ and refuse to admit this. [5] 

  40. 

  41. * Risk factors have compelling predictive power well into adulthood, as shown compellingly by findings from the Dunedin Multidisciplinary Health and Development Study, which tracked a birth cohort of 1,037 individuals in Dunedin, New Zealand, since 1972. Researchers found that just four factors present as early as age three—maltreatment, low IQ, low self-control, and low socioeconomic status—were significantly associated with life outcomes four decades later. They also compared the 22 percent of the cohort showing the greatest risk profiles with the 30 percent of the cohort showing the lowest risk profiles. The comparisons starkly revealed the relative societal burden that each group would go on to impose. The more severe 22 percent—those whom we assert exhibited behavioural poverty—accounted for 66 percent of the social-welfare spending, 77 percent of the prevalence of fatherless children, 54 percent of the prevalence of smoking, 40 percent of the prevalence of excess weight/obesity, 57 percent of hospital stays, 78 percent of prescription fills, 36 percent of injury claims, and 81 percent of crime. The lowest-risk 30 percent accounted for 6 percent of social-welfare spending, 3 percent of the prevalence of fatherless children, 7 percent of the prevalence of smoking, 1 percent of the prevalence of excess weight/obesity, 7 percent of hospital stays, 3 percent of prescription fills, 15 percent of injury claims—and 0 percent of crime. [6] 

  42. 

  43. * Most violent crimes are due to repeat offenders. For example, one Swedish study showed that 1% of the population was accountable for 63% of all violent crime. [7] Hundreds of individuals were each convicted of at least 25 violent crimes each, with the highest observed being 80 violent crime convictions for one individual. There are a range of US and UK studies also showing that chronically aggressive “life-course persistent offenders” account for a disproportionate number of serious crimes, including sexual offences. [8] To use the computing term, “Garbage in = garbage out”.

  44. 

  45. * The US has similar issues with ghetto cultures which have been created and reinforced by the welfare state. [9]

  46. 

  47. * In fact, if you live in the First World, there is a simple and highly effective formula for avoiding poverty: (a) finish high school; (b) get a full-time job once you finish school; (c) get married before you have children. Researchers call this formula the “success sequence.” [10]

  48. 

  49. * It is almost impossible to escape the effects of low-calibre parents and/or dysfunctional cultures.

  50. 

  51. 

  52. *** Immigration controls. Economic migrants from failing countries bring their dysfunctional cultures with them.

  53. 

  54. * Oxford economist Paul Collier warns in his book Exodus, “Imagine that poor settlers were to arrive in a rich society, intent on maintaining and spreading their culture. The social models they would bring with them would not be beneficial: poor countries are poor because their social models are dysfunctional. Prosperous societies would therefore have reason to be wary of such settlers.”

  55. 

  56. * One example he gives is that, “Jamaican culture is among the most violent in the world. For example, murder rates are fifty times higher than in Britain. Guns are normal, so it is unsurprising that Jamaican immigrants brought their gun culture with them; indeed, the gun culture of the Afro-Caribbean community is now a specific concern of British crime policy. That culture is perhaps why Duggan carried a gun: his uncle had been a gun-toting gang leader in Manchester, and he did not recognize it as breaking a taboo. Manchester itself is struggling to live down its description as “Gunchester.” In 2012 it was the scene of a tragedy in which, for the first time in Britain, two policewomen were shot dead.” 

  57. 

  58. 

  59. *** Criminal justice policies. Criminals act based on the certainty and severity of punishment. In other words, they do what they can get away with. Rehabilitation is a fantasy. The root cause of crime is leniency. Western policies incentivise ever-rising crime.

  60. 

  61. * Criminal punishment simply doesn't work in the West. Criminals act based on the certainty and severity of punishment. Incentives matter, and the armoury is empty: the UK only has fines, community orders, and prison. Fines don’t work for people who have no money, community orders are a joke, imprisoning criminals costs taxpayers more than sending a child to Eton, and rehabilitation is a fantasy (literally: there are no studies showing that it works. Because it doesn’t). 

  62. 

  63. * By contrast, in 2016, Singapore police reported 135 total days without any crimes at all, and many shops don’t even lock up. [11]

  64. 

  65. * How do they do it? Certainty and severity of punishment. The former via effective policing and pervasive CCTV to ensure arrest, the latter via corporal punishment and capital punishment. As Thomas Sowell notes, “Whatever you may think about the death penalty, it has the lowest recidivism rate of any of the ways of fighting crime.” Westerners consider it more enlightened to sacrifice victims of crime to predators who in Singapore would simply be put down. 

  66. 

  67. * By being too squeamish to punish “first offenders,” we are being cruel in the long run. Instead of nipping criminal careers in the bud, we let young people think the law is a joke—which leads them into more crimes and eventually hard time in prison. When people talk about the so-called “root causes” of crime, they usually omit to mention “leniency”. A policy of corporal punishment for first offences, corporal punishment and sterilisation for second offences, and capital punishment for third offences would end crime, and crime-generating families, in a decade. That's well outside of the Overton window in the West though, which prefers to incentivise ever-rising crime.

  68. 

  69. 

  70. *** Redistribution doesn’t work. Within the rigid straitjacket of what is considered politically acceptable, all proposed solutions to crime amount to higher taxes on the law-abiding, to subsidise criminals. It doesn’t work because it’s not about money.

  71. 

  72. * Redistribution plays a negligible role compared to the quality of parents. Assortative mating has accolated the divergence between the professional classes and a growing underclass. [12]

  73. 

  74. * Economists have been warning since the 1980s that redistribution simply doesn’t work – and it hasn’t. [13]

  75. 

  76. * Culture matters far more than money. Unsuccessful children are the way they are because of low calibre - and often absent - parents. Parents should be in stable, married, relationships, children must be fully supported, they must be infused with a disciplined attitude to education, and they must refrain from crime. Children arriving in primary school in certain areas are often unable to speak properly or eat with cutlery - and in general intellectual development they are already 18 months behind peers with better parents. As the old expression goes, "The apple doesn't fall far from the tree". Or, in modern computing terms, "Garbage in: garbage out". 

  77. 

  78. * This explains why many recently immigrated Asian and Indian families, for example, have exponentially better performance than peers in of similar economic status. It also explains why Black Africans outperform Black Caribbeans in London - cultural attitudes toward education, police and crime are determinative. 

  79. 

  80. * UK families with incomes <60% of the UK median are deemed to be living in poverty. This is not poverty, it is a deceptive and emotive measure used to conflate inequality with poverty and has absurd consequences. During the GFC 2008-2009, median income fell while the distribution of income became less skewed to the right. Households classified as living in poverty decreased even though their absolute standard of living did not improve. If everyone's real income doubles uniformly across the income distribution within a short period, then the number of people deemed living in poverty remains unchanged even though their standard of living has clearly improved greatly. [14]

  81. 

  82. 

  83. *** There has been a 12-fold increase in UK crime since 1941 and an even greater increase in crimes of violence. This compares to a 10-fold reduction in the period 1500-1750. The changes directly reflect the criminal justice policies used during the respective periods.

  84. 

  85. * In 1921 there was one crime recorded for every 370 inhabitants of England and Wales; 80 years later, it was one for every ten. There has been a 12-fold increase since 1941 and an even greater increase in crimes of violence. [15]

  86. 

  87. * “At the beginning of [1500]… the English homicide rate was about 20 to 40 per year per 100,000 people. At the end [1750], it was about 2 to 4 per 100,000, i.e., a 10-fold reduction (Eisner, 2001). …This leftward is partly explained by the high execution rate between 1500 and 1750, during which 0.5-1% of all men were removed from each generation through court-ordered executions and a comparable proportion through extrajudicial executions, i.e., offenders killed at the crime scenes or in prison while awaiting trial. The total execution rate was thus somewhere between 1-2%. These men were permanently removed from the population, as was the heritable component of their propensity for homicide.” [16]

  88. Wishful thinking. Left-wing ideas sound far more attractive than right-wing ideas, and those espousing them are rarely those suffering the consequences (e.g. rich journalists and politicians, in de facto gated communities), so the Overton window has moved far to the left. (This is true in almost all policy areas, not just crime.)

  89. 

  90. * Quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat: Those whom God wishes to destroy, he first deprives of reason seems to apply to the left-wing ideology of the West. Orwell’s essays have a ring of familiarity. The tension between observed reality and cherished utopian fictions grows annually. Trying to maintain an honest relationship with reality whilst attempting to pay due homage to increasingly unhinged left-wing ideas detached from what happens in the real world when then are implemented is impossible.

  91. 

  92. * A significant proportion of the modern left demand the following policies. Even centre-left leaders must therefore gain their favour:

  93. - Open borders.

  94. - Zero police.

  95. - Abolition of meritocracy in favour of “equity” and “diversity”.

  96. - Ending all prosecution of low-level crimes.

  97. - Legalization of drugs.

  98. - Creation of “disinformation board” to censor and perhaps prosecute those who contradict the party line.

  99. - Allow body alterations and sex changes at will, young children included (if mommy says no she should be dealt with by the justice system).

  100. - Promotion of only “modern” and “abstract” visual art, gangster rap music and erasure of “Eurocentric” art and classical music.

  101. - Discouragement of creation of the family and promotion of hyper public sexuality and promiscuity.

  102. 

  103. 

  104. *** Summary. Western societies have abandoned effective policies in favour of wishful thinking. The armoury against criminals is empty. Criminals are acting rationally in their perceived self-interest, in pursuit of entertainment, sexual gratification and resources. Fines, community order and prison sentences are both pointless and a waste of money. Criminals’ lives don’t matter. Victims’ lives do. Criminals are worthless and should be eliminated. Criminal justice policy should be - to paraphrase a famous lefty - “For the many, not the few”. Dead criminals don't reoffend. Corporal punishment, sterilisation and capital punishment work. There is however no point whinging about aspects of the UK over which we have no control. Nothing will change here, or if it does it will be for the worse (i.e. Starmer & Rayner supplicating themselves, kneeling to the Black Lies Mob rioters). The best answer is to emigrate. Get out – qualify into a recognised profession, and then use it to emigrate to somewhere where the Left haven’t managed to lobotomise the criminal justice system.

  105. 

  106. 

  107. 

  108. FOOTNOTES:

  109. 

  110. [1] In the UK, in the year to March 2020 there were 105 homicides of black men. Despite accounting for 3% of the population, black men accounted for 15% of murder victims and 21% of convicted murderers. The most used murder weapon was a knife, hence the importance of stop and search. In the US in 2018, the latest year for which such data have been published, blacks accounted for 13 percent of the population but they committed 53 percent of known homicides and 60 percent of robberies.

  111. 

  112. [2] The Times, 16 September 2019, www.thetimes.co.uk/article/teenager-stabbed-stranger-in-heart-with-screwdriver-hrgstl7r7

  113. 

  114. [3] The Times, 5 September 2019, http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/judge-blames-parents-of-machete-thug-who-hacked-off-teenagers-hand-srwpcsqx9 

  115. 

  116. [4] The Frivolity of Evil, Theodore Dalrymple, Autumn 2004, https://www.city-journal.org/html/frivolity-evil-12835.html

  117. 

  118. [5] “Broken families. Gutted communities. Betrayed women. Terrified children. Busy morgues. And overflowing prisons. The evidence is so overwhelming that it’s not really controversial anymore. Children who grow up without their fathers—especially in communities where fatherlessness has become the norm—carry the heaviest social, economic and psychological cross social science can measure. The mountain of data is nothing short of Himalayan. Children raised in single-parent homes constitute: 63% of teen suicides; 71% of high school dropouts; 75% of teenagers in substance abuse rehab centers; 85% of behavior disorder patients; 85% of young prison inmates; 90% of runaways and homeless children. This is what we have to show for the trillions of dollars spent and the decades of research conducted. If there was a way for a social worker or a bureaucracy or a government check to fill the Dad-shaped hole in America’s broken families, we would have found it by now. It doesn’t exist. Three generations of elites—from Washington to Hollywood—have promised young Americans that severing the natural connections between sex, marriage, commitment, kids, and parenthood […]” Source: “Sorry Libs, You Can’t Replace Dads With Government" - June 21, 2022 at 2:53 PM by Kevin Roberts, Ph.D., https://www.heritage.org/marriage-and-family/commentary/sorry-libs-you-cant-replace-dads-government 

  119. YouTube: John Anderson talks to British journalist, author and broadcaster Melanie Phillips about the origins of Western cultural and political freedoms, the resurgence of antisemitism around the globe and the key problems confronting the youth of today. In this excerpt, they analyse the decay of truth in relation to family, as objective reality is made to fit with one's subjective feelings: "You talked about some serious work done back in the early 90s by two social scientists, Norman Dennis and George Erdos. According to this report there was incontrovertible evidence that children in fractured family units tend to die earlier, suffer more ill health, do less well at school, be more likely to be unemployed, more prone to criminal behaviour, and to repeat as adults the same cycle of unstable parenting. [...] The social science establishment, as you put it, circled the wagons. [...] What has happened that it's acceptable to ignore evidence when it impacts on others particularly our own children?" https://youtu.be/yw6-aNWfIns?t=282 

  120. 

  121. [6] Behavior Matters - Why some people spend their lives in poverty and social dysfunction, Matt DeLisi and John Paul Wright, City Journal, Summer 2019, https://www.city-journal.org/behavioral-poverty

  122. 

  123. [7] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3969807 (from https://twitter.com/Scientific_Bird/status/1493351750161829888) and https://www.unz.com/isteve/criminal-relatives

  124. 

  125. [8] “Researchers found that just four factors present as early as age three—maltreatment, low IQ, low self-control, and low socioeconomic status—were significantly associated with life outcomes four decades later. They also compared the 22 percent of the cohort showing the greatest risk profiles with the 30 percent of the cohort showing the lowest risk profiles. The comparisons starkly revealed the relative societal burden that each group would go on to impose. The more severe 22 percent—those whom we assert exhibited behavioral poverty—accounted for 66 percent of the social-welfare spending, 77 percent of the prevalence of fatherless children, 54 percent of the prevalence of smoking, 40 percent of the prevalence of excess weight/obesity, 57 percent of hospital stays, 78 percent of prescription fills, 36 percent of injury claims, and 81 percent of crime. The lowest-risk 30 percent accounted for 6 percent of social-welfare spending, 3 percent of the prevalence of fatherless children, 7 percent of the prevalence of smoking, 1 percent of the prevalence of excess weight/obesity, 7 percent of hospital stays, 3 percent of prescription fills, 15 percent of injury claims—and 0 percent of crime.” https://www.city-journal.org/behavioral-poverty 

  126. Also see: Life-Course Persistent Offenders and the Propensity to Commit Sexual Assault, https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1079063212452616 

  127. As one US police officer wrote: “During sentencing, whereas the prosecution often paints a dire picture of the defendant, the defense tries to pretty him up for the judge. There often isn’t much to work with. The defendant hasn’t had a job in years, but, the defense attorney points out, he’s trying to get his GED. And he’s sorry for what he did. And he’s taking Bible classes. And he walks on water, but only when no one is looking. He is portrayed as a bastion of good intentions and shimmering hope for the future who has just lost his way. You’re all for people turning their lives around. But sometimes, especially when the crime involves a dangerous repeat felon, it’s okay to be a little skeptical of this recidivist’s possibilities. Because some people just have crime in their hearts. They steal, rob, assault, commit all kinds of offenses. They will not stop.”

  128. 

  129. [9] “All cultures are not equal. Or at least they are not equal in preparing people to be productive in an advanced economy. The culture of the Plains Indians was designed for nomadic hunters, but is not suited to a First World, 21st-century environment. Nor are the single-parent, antisocial habits, prevalent among some working-class whites; the anti-"acting white" rap culture of inner-city blacks; the anti-assimilation ideas gaining ground among some Hispanic immigrants. These cultural orientations are not only incompatible with what an advanced free-market economy and a viable democracy require, they are also destructive of a sense of solidarity and reciprocity among Americans. If the bourgeois cultural script — which the upper-middle class still largely observes but now hesitates to preach — cannot be widely reinstated, things are likely to get worse for us all.” - Paying the price for breakdown of the country's bourgeois culture, Amy Wax, Philadelphia Inquirer, 9 August 2017, https://www.inquirer.com/philly/opinion/commentary/paying-the-price-for-breakdown-of-the-countrys-bourgeois-culture-20170809.html 

  130. 

  131. [10] Success sequence: https://ifstudies.org/blog/what-does-the-success-sequence-mean

  132. 

  133. [11] CNN, 16 January 2018, Singapore’s crime rate is so low that many shops don’t even lock up, https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/16/singapores-crime-rate-is-so-low-that-many-shops-dont-even-lock-up.html 

  134. 

  135. [12] See from 12 minutes to 18 minutes in this video: How modern families increase social inequality, The Economist, 18 November 2019, https://youtu.be/hSmAYUnZyxE?t=719.

  136. 

  137. [13] See this 9-minute video from the 1980’s in which Thomas Sowell warns that redistribution simply doesn’t work. What is interesting is the liberals on the panel disagreeing with him. That was 40 years ago. What has advanced more in that 40 years: the South Side of Chicago with redistribution, or Singapore with survival of the fittest? https://youtu.be/ArsHUhpkZhQ

  138. 

  139. [14] https://www.adamsmith.org/blog/when-absolute-poverty-isnt-absolute-poverty-in-the-slightest; 

  140. https://capx.co/the-problem-with-how-we-measure-poverty:

  141. https://ifs.org.uk/publications/13308 

  142. 

  143. [15] Dalrymple, supra.

  144. 

  145. [16] Frost, P.; Harpending, H. C. (2015). Western Europe, State Formation, and Genetic Pacification. Evolutionary Psychology, 13(1), 13/1/147470491501300114–. doi:10.1177/147470491501300114, https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/147470491501300114

  146. 

  147. 

  148. 

  149. 

  150. COMMENT 2 - WITH FURTHER EXAMPLES AND SOLUTIONS:

  151. 

  152. I used to work in the criminal justice system. I see people making excuses for criminals, and I fear that that most Western countries are going the same way. In the West, left-wing delusions have taken precedence over unpalatable objective reality. One recurring feature whenever crimes such as brutal rapes or murders occur is professed surprise how the criminal had many previous convictions. This only shows that people have not been paying attention to what is happening in their society. Repeat serious offences are the norm:

  153. 

  154. "Teenager stabbed polite stranger through heart with screwdriver. A lawyer was fatally stabbed in the heart with a screwdriver by a teenager ...the boy had 17 convictions for 31 offences since 2017, including an incident in which he grabbed a knife in an argument and one in which he threatened a driver with a blade after he was challenged about drinking alcohol on a bus. In August 2017 he was convicted of battery, criminal damage and threatening with a blade. At the time of the murder he was on bail for affray."

  155. The Times, 16 September 2019, http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/teenager-stabbed-stranger-in-heart-with-screwdriver-hrgstl7r7

  156. 

  157. "Judge blames parents of machete thug who hacked off teenager’s hand ...[the defendant] has 13 convictions for 27 previous offences including three for knife possession" The Times, 5 September 2019, http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/judge-blames-parents-of-machete-thug-who-hacked-off-teenagers-hand-srwpcsqx9

  158. 

  159. “Five teenagers/young men stabbed to death a 26 year-old…” BBC News, 23 May 2022, http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-60680826

  160. 

  161. "I met the mother of Jermaine Cools, a 14-year-old music-loving teenager who was stabbed to death by a youth with a machete in Croydon, south London, in November 2021. (His killer, Marques Walker, now 18, pleaded guilty to murder and was jailed for life with a minimum term of 19 years.) Lorraine Dudek described her son as the “closest person to me” and said Jermaine had plans to open a car customisation garage with his brother. He was a normal teenager with no history of trouble. [...] Walker had been caught with zombie knives and large blades on three previous occasions and was on court bail for an alleged knife offence when he murdered Jermaine." The Times, 29 December 2023, https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/police-stop-and-search-racism-6xl9grbsn

  162. 

  163. “Criminal saved from deportation murdered man in drugs row. A convicted criminal who avoided deportation to Jamaica after legal challenges backed by MPs and celebrities went on to commit murder. Ernesto Elliott, 45, who was due to board a Home Office charter flight in December 2020, murdered a man in Greenwich, southeast London, six months later. Elliott, who lived in Walthamstow, east London, and his son Nico Elliott, 23, were convicted of robbing and murdering a 35-year-old man on June 2, 2021.” The Times, 27 February 2023, https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/criminal-who-avoided-deportation-murdered-man-in-drugs-row-zpzmmg6g8

  164. 

  165. "I loved being a dad. I loved spending time with little kids. Two-year-olds in general do not appeal to me, but my two-year-olds did. When they turned three, I was like, “Oh, thank God.” I love when they kept getting older [...] We were going to Joshua Tree, and we had just made an offer on a house there as a getaway vacation home, because all four of us loved going to Joshua Tree. So when we found this house, it was like a dream come true for us as a family. We were headed back there at night, because the following morning I had meetings with somebody who would see they could put a pool in for us. Ruby had already chosen the spot for the pool, and it was a joyous ride. It was sort of like a high point for us as a family. Once we crested the hill up to the high desert, it was only about another 20 minutes to the house, when a drunk and high driver, a repeat DUI offender going 40 miles above the speed limit, T-boned us. The point of impact was the rear passenger door, Ruby’s door. Ruby and Hart were killed basically on contact. The paramedics came and they tried valiantly to save them, but they never really breathed after the crash. So to my mind, they died on impact. Hart was 14 and Ruby was 17." How to Live After Profound Loss, Bari Weiss interviewing Colin Campbell, 12 August 2023, https://www.thefp.com/p/how-to-live-after-loss

  166. 

  167. “A sexual predator has pleaded guilty to murdering law graduate Zara Aleena just days after being released from prison. …Ms Aleena, who was brutally kicked and stamped on, then left for dead. …the 35-year-old woman "stood no chance" as the killer dragged her into a driveway before kicking and stamping on her. McSweeney sexually assaulted the law graduate and made off with her mobile phone, keys and handbag, …Ms Aleena was found with severe head injuries, partially naked and struggling to breathe …she later died from her injuries. A post-mortem examination found she had suffered multiple serious injuries. Ms Aleena was only minutes from home when she was murdered, in what police described as an "opportunist stranger attack". CCTV from the night of the killing showed McSweeney following several women before fixating on Ms Aleena. McSweeney had been released from prison on licence just nine days before the murder. …he was a prolific offender who had previously been jailed for criminal damage, racially aggravated harassment and unauthorised possession of a knife in prison. He had 28 convictions for 69 separate offences including burglary, theft of a vehicle, criminal damage, assaulting police officers and assaulting members of the public while on bail. …senior Crown prosecutor Olcay Sapanoglu said it was "clear that McSweeney was intent that night on finding a woman to attack. He sexually assaulted her, then brutally stamped on her several times before appearing to walk away," the prosecutor said. "Moments later he returned, only to stamp on her several times more and then, finally, leaving her for dead. …having completed his initial assault, he returned to inflict further injuries, leading to her death. At no stage during his police interviews did he express any sorrow for his actions."

  168. - Sky News UK, 18 November 2022, https://news.sky.com/story/zara-aleena-jordan-mcsweeney-pleads-guilty-to-murdering-law-graduate-as-she-walked-home-12728991

  169. 

  170. Many more appalling examples here: https://archive.is/20240711163351/https://www.edwest.co.uk/p/addicted-to-punishment and here: https://x.com/edwest/status/948467480653123584

  171. 

  172. 

  173. Criminality cannot be wished away. It takes time for societies to fall apart, to crumble, but it can happen. Laws matters. Order matters. Believing that you live in a safe place where miscreants don’t run free … that matters, too. Every society has always had persistent criminals, but only in the West since the 1960s have we been arrogant enough to attempt to ignore reality:

  174. 

  175. "Men commit evil within the scope available to them. [...] most evildoers merely make the most of their opportunities. They do what they can get away with. [...] I have met at least 5,000 perpetrators […] violence [and] 5,000 victims of it: nearly 1 percent of the population of my city—or a higher percentage, if one considers the age-specificity of the behavior. And when you take the life histories of these people, as I have, you soon realize that their existence is as saturated with arbitrary violence as that of the inhabitants of many a dictatorship. Instead of one dictator, though, there are thousands, each the absolute ruler of his own little sphere, his power circumscribed by the proximity of another such as he.” 

  176. 

  177. The Frivolity of Evil, Theodore Dalrymple, Autumn 2004, https://www.city-journal.org/html/frivolity-evil-12835.html

  178. 

  179. "A 1982 study of 240 criminals found that this small group was responsible for a half million crimes over an eleven-year period—an average of 190 crimes a year. Another study of various state prisoners found that 25 percent of them committed 135 crimes a year, while 10 percent committed 600 crimes a year. A California study of convicted males found that just 3.5 percent of those males committed 60 percent of the crimes committed by the whole group. Numerous other studies came to the same conclusion: a tiny cohort of chronic offenders is disproportionately responsible for the vast amount of predatory violence. This is the crime that is predictable and can be most effectively prevented by the intervention of our criminal justice system. The identity of these career offenders was not a mystery. They started committing crimes as juveniles—for which they are never held accountable—and kept on committing crimes as adults. They continued committing crimes whenever they were let out of prison on bail, parole, and probation. As a general rule, the recidivism rate of this hard-core element remained stubbornly high and started dropping appreciably only after they reached forty years old." William Barr, One Damn Thing After Another: Memoirs of an Attorney General (William Morrow)

  180. 

  181. Recent analyses confirm that a small number of criminals are responsible for a large fraction of crime. Notably, approximately half of violent crime convictions were committed by people who already had 3 or more violent crime convictions. In other words, if after being convicted of 3 violent crimes people were prevented from further offending, half of violent crime convictions would have been avoided : https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/when-few-do-great-harm / https://archive.is/JPSs5

  182. 

  183. The UK provides an interesting historical insight. From 1500-1750, execution was used to remove violent men from the gene pool, with predictable results (prior to that, the church had objected):

  184. 

  185. “At the beginning of [1500]… the English homicide rate was about 20 to 40 per year per 100,000 people. At the end [1750], it was about 2 to 4 per 100,000, i.e., a 10-fold reduction (Eisner, 2001). …This leftward is partly explained by the high execution rate between 1500 and 1750, during which 0.5-1% of all men were removed from each generation through court-ordered executions and a comparable proportion through extrajudicial executions, i.e., offenders killed at the crime scenes or in prison while awaiting trial. The total execution rate was thus somewhere between 1-2%. These men were permanently removed from the population, as was the heritable component of their propensity for homicide.” 

  186. 

  187. Frost, P.; Harpending, H. C. (2015). Western Europe, State Formation, and Genetic Pacification. Evolutionary Psychology, 13(1), 13/1/147470491501300114–. doi:10.1177/147470491501300114, https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/147470491501300114

  188. 

  189. ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️

  190. 

  191. Recidivism rates are high. A 10-year follow-up analysis found that, within the first year of release, 42.9% of released prisoners were rearrested, 24.4% were reconvicted, and 30.7% were reincarcerated (either parole/probation violation or arrest leading to new sentence). Within 10 years, 81.9% had been arrested at least once, 68.8% convicted, and 60.7% reincarcerated. (https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/recidivism-prisoners-released-24-states-2008-10-year-follow-period-2008-2018). People who are incarcerated are overwhelmingly repeat offenders. Fewer than 5% of those admitted to state prison are there as a result of their first arrest (Durose & Antenangeli, 2023). More than 3 out of 4 have been arrested 5 times or more, and the median number of prior arrests for people admitted to state prison was 9. (https://bjs.ojp.gov/library/publications/arrest-history-persons-admitted-state-prison-2009-and-2014). (Both from https://inquisitivebird.substack.com/p/crime-in-the-usa / https://archive.is/zJovi)

  192. 

  193. Frisell, Thomas, Yudi Pawitan, and Niklas Långström. "Is the association between general cognitive ability and violent crime caused by family-level confounders?." PloS one 7, no. 7 (2012): e41783. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3404054

  194. 

  195. "We rightly worry about all the big things — the kind of rioting and arson we witnessed last summer that a lot of journalists called “mostly peaceful demonstrations.” [...] But the “little things” matter too. Societies can’t thrive, they can’t go on indefinitely, when people can urinate (and worse) on the sidewalks, or block streets, or pretend that ransacking store shelves and walking out without paying is no big deal — because it is a very big deal. Once the little things become tolerated, it’s not long before bigger, bad things start to happen routinely as well." https://thehill.com/opinion/criminal-justice/559465-the-little-things-are-turning-san-francisco-bad-in-a-big-way / https://archive.is/wHqH2

  196. 

  197. "Four times Francisco Oropesa, a Mexican man in his late thirties, illegally crossed the southern border into the U.S., and four times he was deported (every crossing after his first deportation was a felony, though none was prosecuted). It was during his fifth or even sixth illegal stay in America, in a community about 45 miles north of Houston, that he, incensed at being asked to stop firing his gun in his yard, allegedly went over to his neighbors’ house and murdered in retaliatory fashion five people, including a young boy. The White House, in its statement on the massacre, neglected to mention Oropesa’s immigration status." https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/3982356-the-memo-texas-killing-sparks-outrage-from-bidens-border-critics

  198. 

  199. "Criminals may be immoral, but they’re not all stupid. They make calculations about risks and rewards. And in San Francisco they concluded that crime pays." https://thehill.com/opinion/criminal-justice/3515880-crime-and-no-punishment-progressive-da-chesa-boudin-pays-a-price-for-woke-policies / https://archive.is/yEgVN

  200. 

  201. "Hwangbum Yang, 26, was walking home in the rain at half past midnight on April 19, 2012, when, just two blocks from his family’s house [...] A lean black man with a gun named Dominick Davis, who in his 20 years had already managed to accrue three prior felony convictions (two in New York and one in New Jersey), approached and demanded Yang’s phone. The cook refused. Davis fired once, shooting Yang in the chest. He took the phone—leaving his victim’s wallet untouched—and fled [...] The police tracked down Davis [...] trying to sell Yang’s phone for $400." 

  202. https://www.city-journal.org/article/the-element-of-crime-part-one

  203. https://www.city-journal.org/article/the-element-of-crime-part-two

  204. 

  205. So what?

  206. 

  207. Incentives matter, and the armoury is empty: Western courts only have fines, community orders, and prison. Fines don’t work for people who have no money, community orders are a joke, imprisoning criminals costs taxpayers more than sending a child to than Eton, and rehabilitation is a liberal fantasy. You can't "rehabilitate" violent criminals, you simply need to (a) make them suffer, so their peers are too terrified to emulate them; and (b) with the minority who persists in committing crime, extinguish them.

  208. 

  209. In the West, left-wingers demand so-called ‘enlightened criminal justice’. This refrains from effective methods in favour of platitudes and resigned acceptance of the fact that we have chosen to incentivise ever-rising crime. Effectively, criminals have free rein until they rape or murder someone. At no point in the escalatory spiral until there is a rape victim or a dead body do Western societies deign to act decisively. Even when they do, the only acceptable option is imprisonment with free accomodation, food and healthcare, at immense expense to taxpayers.

  210. 

  211. Singapore has criminal justice right: corporal punishment (i.e. torture) for minor offences, and capital punishment (i.e. execution) for serious offences.

  212. Prison is both pointless and a waste of money. Criminals are worthless, and should be elimināted. Criminals’ lives don’t matter. Victims’ lives do. Criminal justice policy should be - to paraphrase a famous lefty - “For the many, not the few”. Dead criminals do not reoffend.

  213. 

  214. I was very left-wing when I started, and believed all the nonsense we're told about rehabilitation, etc. Experience taught me otherwise. The West approach to crime is now effectively: "Let's allow feral vermin to rape and maim innocent people - until they murder someone. Then we'll squander ££££ of decent people's money to imprison these oxygen thieves.” 

  215. 

  216. 

  217. A more coherent approach would be: 

  218. 

  219. 1. First offence. Corporal punishment. Convicted criminals are partially stripped, strapped down, and then beaten until either the sentence is carried out, or they lose consciousness. If the latter, it is continued in due course. Screaming and bleeding are ignored. As superbly evidenced for decades by Singapore, this is (a) excruciating; (b) humiliating; and (c) an effective deterrent.

  220. 

  221. 2. Second offence. Corporal punishment as above, plus castration. The latter (a) prevents propagation of criminality, and spares a child suffering appalling parenting; (b) decreases testosterone and thus propensity to further offend; (c) is humiliating, and thus a deterrent; and (d) curtails lifespan, which is ideal for societal deadweights.

  222. 

  223. 3. Final offence. Euthanasia. ‘Capital punishment’ is a misnomer: one does not punish garbage by removing it from one’s house, rather once something risks polluting one’s home it has simply ceased to be of value. Mutatis mutandis for serious criminals in society. Membership of society is a privilege, and it can be forfeit. Once identified, persistent criminals should be euthanised quickly, quietly, and above all else cheaply. This can be done painlessly using a hypoxia chamber.

  224. 

  225. 

  226. 

  227. 

  228. NOTES TO PROCESS:

  229. 

  230. https://inquisitivebird.xyz/p/the-case-for-prisons

  231. 

  232. https://www.neilobrien.co.uk/p/super-prolific-criminals-new-data

  233. 

  234. https://www.city-journal.org/article/the-great-jackass-terrorist-alliance

  235. 

  236. https://www.city-journal.org/article/the-enduring-solution-to-crime

  237. 

  238. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/britains-migrant-crisis-laid-bare-by-murders-29997m6bx

  239. 

  240. https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/britain-is-soft-on-crime/

  241. 

  242. https://www.city-journal.org/article/crime-and-history

  243. 

  244. https://www.city-journal.org/article/the-unjust-pursuit-of-police-officer-sutton

  245. 

  246. https://www.city-journal.org/article/is-there-racial-bias-in-criminal-sentencing

  247. 

  248. https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2023/12/why-do-wealthier-people-commit-less-crime.html

  249. 

  250. https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/jeremy-clarkson-we-have-a-prison-crisis-they-arent-grim-enough-m8pknl2th

  251. 

  252. https://www.culturcidal.com/p/is-matt-walsh-right-that-the-united

  253. 

  254. https://anncoulter.com/2015/05/06/smart-policing-lock-up-liberals

  255. 

  256. "I have noticed even people who claim everything is predestined, and that we can do nothing to change it, look before they cross the road." - Stephen Hawking 

  257. 

  258. 

  259. Let us assume free will is an illusion, and action is just a product of stimuli received. If potential criminal know that convictions result punishment then that stimulus will work to reduce the probability of that individual offending, irrespective of the existence or otherwise of free will. 

  260. 

  261. Philosophically, knowledge about the existence or otherwise of free will might be important - but I think the practical consequences are minimal.

  262. 

  263. -

  264. 

  265. 

  266. There ARE solutions. See: https://controlc.com/f22ea85d - it just depends whether your priorities are (a) protecting future victims; or (b) indulging liberals' entirely unwarranted, self-aggrandising perceptions of their own purported moral and intellectual superiority.

  267. 

  268. 

  269. 

  270. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/teens-charged-murder-nearly-year-cyclist-way-work-was-intentionally-hi-rcna196992

  271. 

  272. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/deadly-hit-run-new-mexico-brings-juvenile-justice-challenges-focus-rcna197731

  273. 

  274. https://archive.is/20250528193040/https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/05/28/prolific-criminals-making-a-mockery-of-uk-justice-system/

  275. 

  276. https://archive.is/996Px

  277. 

  278. Post-Woke Criminal Justice Reform, https://lawliberty.org/post-woke-criminal-justice-reform/  /  https://archive.is/kvPyG

  279. 

  280. @@@@@@@@

  281. 

  282. Britain Tough on Crime?: A View of the British Justice System Through the Newspaper Headlines. Britain Tough on Crime? provides numerous examples of Britain's Newspaper headlines which illustrate that:;- community supervision and offender rehabilitation programs do not work;- Crime is a choice not a disease and the anti-prison ideology of our justice elite provides criminals with a licence to offend;- leniency encourages crime;- our justice system is indifferent to the impact that crime has on victims and the public sentencers ignore the evidence that prison works to protect the public;- sentencing has become an empty ritual;- many judges are out of touch with the effects crime has on the public;- the last 60 years of sentencing policy in the UK has made crime easier, safer and more rewarding;Britain has been made a land fit for criminals;Britian Tough on Crime? reveals the justice system's preoccupation with the criminal and indifference to victims and the public. Author: After leaving school David Fraser spent four years in industry, followed by a short period as a teacher. For the next 27 years he served in the Probation Service, on the front line and as a manager. He worked in busy Inner London magistrates' courts as well as in prisons in the capital and the south-west. Subsequently he worked as a Criminal Intelligence Analyst with the National Criminal Intelligence Service (now the National Crime Agency) for many years. For the last 40 years he has campaigned for the sentencing laws in Britain to be changed to ensure the public is protected from persistent and violent criminals. He is married with two grown-up children and two grandchildren and lives with his wife in the west-country. https://www.amazon.co.uk/Britain-Tough-Crime-Newspaper-Headlines/dp/1789634555

  283. 

  284. @@@@@@@

  285. 

  286. Theodore Dalrymple: Real Crime, Fake Justice. A scathing, politically incorrect book by an ex-probation officer tells some harsh truths. For the last 40 years, government policy in Britain, de facto if not always de jure, has been to render the British population virtually defenseless against criminals and criminality. Almost alone of British government policies, this one has been supremely effective: no Briton nowadays goes many hours without wondering how to avoid being victimized by a criminal intent on theft, burglary, or violence. An unholy alliance between politicians and bureaucrats who want to keep prison costs to a minimum, and liberal intellectuals who pretend to see in crime a natural and understandable response to social injustice, which it would be a further injustice to punish, has engendered a prolonged and so far unfinished experiment in leniency that has debased the quality of life of millions of people, especially the poor. Every day in our newspapers we read of the absurd and dangerous leniency of the criminal-justice system. On April 21, for example, even the Observer (one of the bastions of British liberalism responsible for the present situation) gave prominence to the official report into the case of Anthony Rice, who strangled and then stabbed Naomi Bryant to death. Rice, it turned out, had been assaulting women since 1972. He had been convicted for assaulting or raping a total of 15 women before murdering Naomi Bryant, and it is a fair supposition that he had assaulted or raped many more who did not go to the police. In 1982, he grabbed a woman by the throat, held a knife to her, and raped her. Five years later, while out of prison on home leave, he grabbed a woman, pushed her into a garden, held a knife to her, and raped her for an hour. Receiving a life sentence, he was transferred to an open prison in 2002 and then released two years later on parole as a low-risk parolee. He received housing in a hostel for ex-prisoners in a village whose inhabitants had been told, to gain their acquiescence, that none of the residents there was violent; five months after his arrival, he murdered Naomi Bryant. In pronouncing another life sentence on him, the judge ordered that he should serve at least 25 years: in other words, even now the law has not quite thrown away the key. https://www.city-journal.org/article/real-crime-fake-justice

  287. 

  288. @@@@@

  289. 

  290. Elon Musk: “ If you spare the wolf, you sacrifice the sheep.” https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1939404681148858701